Various elections held in the past were seen as a big sign for the upcoming politics in the country.
While BJP’s Aswamedh horse was stopped by Arvind Kejriwal’s Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) in Delhi by tying it to a peg in the MCD elections, the Congress in Himachal Pradesh made that horse stand at the foot of the mountain of power.
However, in Gujarat, the home state of PM Narendra Modi and Home Minister Amit Shah, the BJP came out with a record.
But BJP also knows how many papads it had to make for this historic victory.
The recent results are being seen as a base for the 2023 election year.
It is believed that the political activities and election results of 2023 will decide the direction of the 2024 Lok Sabha elections.
Next year, assembly elections are to be held in a total of nine states in the country.
Of these, elections are to be held in four states at the beginning of the year and in five states at the end of the year.
Among these, elections are to be held in the three big Hindi heartland states of the country, Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan and Chhattisgarh, two in South India, Karnataka and Telangana and four in the North East states of Meghalaya, Tripura, Nagaland and Mizoram.
Just before the general elections, these elections are very important from the point of view of the country’s politics.
Among these, BJP and Congress have the maximum stake. After that the interests of all big and small regional parties are also important.
Contest between Congress and BJP in four states Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, Chhattisgarh and Karnataka.
However, JDS is also in the fray in Karnataka. But the contest of power has to be between the Congress and the BJP.
Out of these four states, there is a BJP government in two states and a Congress government in two.
In such a situation, the BJP will try to save both these forts and make a dent in the Congress stronghold.
On the other hand, the struggle of the Congress to return to power in the remaining two states after saving its forts will continue.
If the Congress does well in these elections, then a strong challenger to the NDA led by PM Modi will emerge.
The opposition will emerge as the pivot. If the BJP does well, it will have a psychological advantage in the general elections.
Apart from regional parties, the rest of the northeastern states including Telangana are important for BJP and Congress.
In Telangana, BJP is engaged in interfering with KCR’s BRS from power. Tripura is also important from the BJP’s point of view, where last time it formed its government by demolishing the citadel of the Left. BJP will try to save it too.
If regional parties improve their performance in other states, then the importance of small parties will also remain in the country.
Efforts are being made to present an alternative to the PM Modi-led BJP in the country. A natural choice is the Congress and its allies.
But leaders like Nitish Kumar, Mamta Banerjee, KCR are constantly engaged in the exercise of opposition unity at their respective levels.
The mobilization of opposition parties is expected to accelerate further next year.
While AAP is fast making its place in the politics of the country, it is also trying to get close to the Congress.
AAP is trying to join hands with Congress to stop BJP’s victory in Delhi in the Lok Sabha elections, so that votes against BJP are not divided.
Nitish Kumar is also giving the option of moving ahead keeping in view the possibilities of the regional parties in the state where there are regional parties.
The budget is going to be important before the upcoming elections. Through this, the government will try to provide relief to all those sections, which have dissatisfaction and resentment.
The government can provide some relief to the middle class who are facing the brunt of inflation and tax. Some popular steps can be taken to remove the displeasure of the peasantry.
By reducing excise duty on things like petrol and diesel, it can try to provide relief to a large section of the country including the middle class.
The central government had given the facility of free ration to the poor during the Kovid period, it was extended till December 2022.
In all the election results so far, free ration has proved to be a game changer for BJP. It is believed that the government can take this scheme in installments till the next general elections.
The major issue against the Modi government in the country is employment and inflation. The efforts of the government will also be to overcome the displeasure of the youth by announcing some schemes in the field of employment in the country by controlling inflation.
Earlier this year, PM Modi had talked about filling more than 10 lakh vacant posts in the country in the next 18 months. In such a situation, in the coming year, the center can try to remove the displeasure of the people by speeding up the process of filling government posts.
However, OPS is going to be a big issue in the times to come. Many opposition parties are trying to reach the middle class through government employees by talking about old pension scheme.
The latest example of this was seen in the Himachal Pradesh elections, where the Congress talked about implementing OPS. The Nazis of Himachal played an important role in this issue.
Earlier, non-BJP ruled states like Rajasthan, Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand and Punjab have already implemented OPS in the country. It will be implemented soon in Himachal.
States like Tamil Nadu are also considering it. Congress has talked about implementing this scheme after coming to power in Madhya Pradesh and other places. In such a situation, it will be a big challenge for the BJP to find its solution.
