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Normal Rainfall Expected In Northeast During Monsoon From June: IMD

Meteorological department of India has predicted that the monsoon is likely to return to normal between June and September in the Country.

Based on the long-term average, it is said that there is a 96 percent chance of rain this time. In a press conference, the secretary of the Ministry of Science told that 83.6 cm of rainfall is expected in 2023. Which is considered normal. 

The Meteorological Department said normal rainfall is expected over most parts of South India as well as Northeast India and parts of West and Central India.

As a rationale, the IMD said, low snow cover in some areas like Eurasia is favorable for southwest monsoon. However, the impact of El Nino may fall in the second half of the monsoon, said the IMD. 

The Indian Ocean Dipole is also positive for monsoons, the Meteorological Department said.

In general, the Meteorological Department uses long time periods to determine whether a year’s rainfall is above normal, normal or below normal.

 In that case it is 30 or 50 years. There the reasons for less or more rainfall in different years are also seen.

The average rainfall for the last 50 years in the four months of June to September is around 88 cm. 

In general, the normal rainfall of the country means 96 percent to 104 percent of this rainfall. 

On the other hand private weather agency Skymet said there is 94 percent chance of rain, which is below normal.

Skymet said other factors besides El Niño could cause disruptions in rainfall. Due to which monsoon is likely to weaken. 

They said rain would be 94 percent, along with a strong El Nino second to the monsoon. They also said that the Indian Ocean Dipole is not very positive for the Southwest Monsoon this time.

India’s agriculture sector got some relief from the IMD forecast. Because this monsoon is the source of livelihood of 60 percent of the country’s population. 

Its amount in the economy is 18 percent.  Half of the area of the country still lacks irrigation facilities. 

Because of this, crops like paddy, bhuto, cane, cotton and soybeans depend on the rains from June to September.

In that case, if the monsoon is less, then it is bound to have an impact on the economy. This monsoon is also a possible cause of risk in the economy. 

But for now that is not likely. Experts say that even if the monsoon starts, its results will be understood.

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