Tripura assembly elections are going to be more interesting this year as in 2018, for the first time, BJP had created history by winning here.
After ousting the Left parties which were in power for 25 years, the BJP appointed Biplab Deb as the Chief Minister and handed over the command of the state.
Making changes just one year before election in 2022, Manik Saha was made the Chief Minister in place of Biplab kr Deb by the BJP High Command.
Maintaining the history of victory that BJP had created in 2018 going to be the biggest challenge for the present Chief Minister Dr Saha as well as his party.
Here also, BJP is preparing to make double engine government, making ‘good governance’ and ‘development’ as an issue.
By removing former CM Biplab Deb, BJP has already given this message that the one who does not work will not remain on the post.
BJP has a coalition government in Tripura. In 2018, the BJP single-handedly won 36 out of 60 seats in the state, securing a majority.
Last year, on May 15, 2022, party replaced Biplab Deb and made Manik Saha the Chief Minister. BJP appointed Dr. Rajib Bhattacharya as the new president.
This time also BJP will make Dr. Manik Saha as the face of the Chief Minister.
If we look at the 2018 results, Tripura has 60 assembly seats. Out of this, BJP had won 36. Whereas, 16 are left and 8 are with IPFT.
If we look at the district-wise seats, the maximum number of 14 seats are in West Tripura. The BJP had won 12 seats from here in the last assembly elections.
Whereas, IPFT had captured 2 other seats.
The dominance of CPIM was visible in Sepahijala. The CPIM captured five of the nine seats here. The BJP had won three and the IPFT had won one.
The BJP won five out of seven assembly seats in Gomati district and three out of seven assembly seats in South Tripura.
BJP also won in Dhalai. Here BJP won 5 out of six and IPFT won on one.
Even though BJP had come with majority in the 2018 last election, but this time the way will not going to be easy. Political upheaval continued in the state last year.
In 2022, when Manik Saha was made the Chief Minister by replacing Biplab Deb, many leaders of the party distanced themselves.
BJP leader Hangsha Kumar joined Tipra Motha along with 6,000 tribal supporters.
Not only this, tribal based IPFT, the alliance partner of ruling BJP is in contact with TIPRA Motha. Many leaders are changing parties. IPFT also lost its base as it was in 2018.
The Congress and the Left parties, which have been staunch opponents of each other, have joined hands.
According to the political analysts BJP used 40% vote bank of Congress to come in power in 2018 and now Congress once again trying to bring back this vote bank.
“Our 5% voters casted vote for BJP due to their gimmick promises. Than it was possible for BJP to form government. But BJP cheated every one” said CPIM.
Notably before 2018 Assembly Polls BJP had only 5% Vote Bank.
Naturally this time its the path will not be easy for the BJP-IPFT to repeat the performance of 2018 in Tripura.