Nitish-BJP Alliance Ahead as Bihar Awaits Final Verdict

• By Thetripurapost Desk, Patna
• Nov 11, 2025
• 20

The exit polls for the Bihar Assembly election have reignited political debates across the state. While most surveys predict a clear edge for the National Democratic Alliance (NDA), analysts caution that Bihar’s political landscape often defies poll projections — where numbers meet emotion, and sentiment can overturn arithmetic.

According to exit polls conducted by 14 different agencies, the NDA — led by Nitish Kumar’s JD(U) and the BJP — is projected to win around 154 seats, while the Mahagathbandhan (Grand Alliance) may drop to around 84 seats. The Jan Suraj Party, though emerging as a new player, is expected to make only a marginal impact.

Political observers suggest that despite anti-incumbency sentiment, the NDA’s lead could reflect continued voter trust in central leadership and Nitish Kumar’s governance record. Conversely, the Mahagathbandhan appears weakened by vote division and a lack of coordination between the RJD and Congress. The entry of smaller parties may have further eroded their traditional vote base.

However, Bihar’s political history urges caution. In 2015, exit polls predicted an NDA victory, but the Grand Alliance triumphed instead. In 2020, the reverse occurred — highlighting how volatile Bihar’s electorate can be.

Ultimately, Bihar’s politics remain driven not just by numbers but by emotion, caste dynamics, and leadership appeal. As the state awaits the official results on November 14, the real question lingers — will Nitish Kumar reclaim power, or will the Mahagathbandhan script another surprise?